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We use our newsletters to share new research and new ideas with the research community. Issues include white papers on a variety of subjects, notes on recent TRC studies, highlights from our Insightology blog, and announcements about upcoming TRC conferences and services. Check out past issues, or sign up to receive new ones.

 

February 2009 Newsletter

Practitioners' Place
Identifying and dealing with non-response bias
You'll never get everyone to participate. Our latest white paper helps you determine when non-response bias is a problem, and suggests practical strategies for minimizing its impact on your work.

To access the full library of TRC's white papers
click here.

Insightology
It's not just the data - charts make a difference
Most of the time our data is presented with bars, pies, and lines. But sometimes you have to break out of the norm to make your point. How we display data can be as important as the data themselves. Want inspiration? This Insightology post on "Unusual Maps" will do the trick.


From our recent work
Consumer attitudes towards the Obama healthcare plan
President Obama ran on the promise of a healthcare reform. He won, but do consumers buy into the premise of his plan? A recent TRC study investigated this issue, and sheds light on how perceptions of success elsewhere could help sell the President's approach across party lines.

What Independent Insurance Agents told us
We've partnered with Independent Insurance Agents & Brokers of America on its bi-annual Agency Universe Study since 2000. Click and find out the
Top-10 Findings from the 2008 comprehensive overview of the independent agency system. For more information about the study email Maynard Robison at This e-mail address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it .
News & Announcements

TRC is proud to sponsor another conference at Rice University, to be held Friday, April 3rd on its Houston, TX campus.

The theme remains Making Research Relevant, and the focus of this one-day session will be Understanding Customer Preferences, Customer Lifetime Value Measurement and Database Marketing.

Our Chief Research Officer Rajan Sambandam will again present along with members of Rice University's Jones School of Business. Space is limited. For more information please
click here and fill out the form.
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Belt-tightening 101
Most everyone's had to cut back in light of the current economic climate. Number one on the chopping block… dining out. Have questions?
Answer Junkie can get the answers.
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Non-Response Bias In Survey Sampling
White Paper Series
Introduction

As market researchers, we use data gathered from surveys to make informed decisions and give recommendations to clients on ways to improve their sales and standing in the marketplace. Whether these recommendations are to invest resources to increase satisfaction with customer support or to introduce a new product to the market, we need to feel confident that the results from many crosstabs and multivariate analyses are speaking the truth. The confidence we have in our results stems from the quality of our data. In today's market research industry, we do a lot to help ensure our data meet certain standards: screener questions target the specific audience we want, online panels take many steps to ensure their samples contain the target we need, we weight respondents to match specific population demographics, etc. [Refer to Situational Use of Data Weighting for more details] However, one of the most over-looked problems is that of non-response bias.

Non-Response Bias

In data collection, there are two types of non-response: item and unit non-response. Item non-response occurs when certain questions in a survey are not answered by a respondent. Unit non-response takes place when a randomly sampled individual cannot be contacted or refuses to participate in a survey. The bias occurs when answers to questions differ among the observed and non-respondent items or units. A general formula for measuring bias is:

Bias = P ( O - N )

where
P is the proportion of non-respondents from the targeted sample (i.e. non-response rate)
O is the answer based on observed responses
N is the answer based on non-respondents only

Bias is calculated as the product of two components: non-response rate and the difference between the observed and non-respondent answers. Increasing either of the two components will lead to an increase in bias. Since it's quite difficult and often impractical to design a survey to impact the difference between the observed and non-respondent answers, researchers will often focus their attention on reducing the non-response rate in order to reduce bias.

The first (and possibly most important) step in reducing non-response bias is to create a properly designed survey. Whether it be online or by phone, the design of the survey can have a large impact on whether a respondent chooses to partake in the survey, and to what extent they complete the survey. Having a personable yet professional introduction, interesting survey content, short survey length, clear and concise wording, practical and appealing incentives, placing multiple follow-up calls or email reminders on non-respondents, and being mindful of the time, day, or season that the survey is fielded all can impact the non-response rate. Even after designing a great survey, both item and unit non-response are likely to exist.

There are many ways to deal with item non-response, with case deletion and mean replacement being the most popular. Due to researchers' familiarity with item non-response, the remainder of this paper focuses on the less talked about subject of unit non-response bias. Our next steps are to measure and then adjust for any bias in the data.

Identifying Unit Non-Response Bias

Comparing Initial and Late Respondents
As mentioned earlier, following up on non-respondents is an excellent way to reduce the non-response rate, but it also gives us some additional information. Because late-respondents, or those that respond after several attempts, are theorized to have some similarities with non-respondents, one approach would be to compare scores on key metrics from both the initial respondents and the late respondents. Any differences would be considered an estimate of non-response bias. Of course, we need to keep in mind that these similarities with the non-respondents and the differences from the initial responders do not always pan out.

Comparing Survey Results to Known Population Parameters
Instead of comparing initial and late responders, we can compare the demographic profiles (e.g. age, gender, race, and income) of our respondents to some reliable external source. One option for this would be U.S. Census data for our intended target population. If the comparison results in clear differences, we conclude that these differences indicate that we may have non-response bias in our data. While this method allows for the comparison of data gathered on respondents to population totals, it lacks the ability to measure differences on key variables of interest. In order to evaluate key variables, a popular technique is to weight the survey respondents based on census totals and compare the weighted and un-weighted results. [Refer to Situational Use of Data Weighting for more details] If they differ, we may conclude non-response bias is present, assuming that the demographic or database variables have an association with the response rate.

Using Known Database Variables to Identify Bias
Suppose that along with contact information for the entire sampled group, we have some additional demographic and database (e.g. tenure with company, purchase quantity) variables. One option utilizing this extra information is to examine non-response rates over different sub-groups of the population using the demographic variables. Differences indicate the possible presence of bias in the data. Another option is to use the database variables and compare statistics among the responders and non-responders where any differences give evidence of non-response bias. Both of these methods fail to focus on key survey variables and assume that the demographic or database variables are correlated with non-response bias.

Adjusting for Unit Non-Response Bias

The above methods give the researcher a sense of whether bias exists, but do not provide a way to deal with it. The following procedures both measure and adjust for non-response bias.

Weighting-Class Adjustments
Suppose again that additional demographic or database variables are available for all members of the targeted sample group. These variables are used to create sub-groups containing respondents and non-respondents. Weights are then calculated based on the proportions in each sub-group and applied to the respondents to reflect the total sample population. Comparisons on key variables are then observed between the unadjusted and weighting-class adjusted respondents. If clear differences are detected, then non-response bias is assumed to be at fault and the weighting-class adjustments are used as they provide results with less bias. Poststratification is another technique similar to weighting-class adjustment, except that the procedure uses population counts instead of the total sample counts. The downside to these techniques is that they assume that the differences between respondents and non-respondents are captured in the subgroups, and that there is no rule of thumb for comparing adjustments to determine which to use.

Other Adjustment Techniques
A couple of other techniques exist to adjust for non-response bias such as propensity models, which require some information (e.g. demographics) be known for the entire sampled group, or calibration methods, which make the use of auxiliary population data like from a census. Both of these methods are extensions to techniques previously discussed, and the interested reader is encouraged to research more on these topics in detail.

Conclusion

The purpose of this paper was to make the reader aware of non-response bias, describe ways to reduce its effects in the design stage before fielding a survey, and explain the ways to measure and adjust datasets for non-response bias. Because post-survey adjustments are merely estimated "fixes" to the problem, the most effective way to reduce non-response bias is to reduce non-response rates through properly designed studies. Then the adjustments on the back-end will help reduce, but not eliminate, non-response bias.
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How Will People React If Obama Requires Healthcare Coverage?
From our recent work
Ensuring universal availability of healthcare coverage for Americans was a major plank in President Obama's presidential campaign platform, and he has continued to mention the crucial need for universal coverage even while dealing with the economic crisis.

As the healthcare reform evolves, a key feature may be a requirement that everyone obtain coverage either privately or through a federal insurance program. In January, we asked members of our Web panel - broadly representative of U.S. households with Internet access - for their reactions to the plan. We then looked at the possible impact of learning what has happened in Massachusetts since the Bay State passed a plan requiring that everyone have health insurance.

Generally, a majority supports Obama's plan as described in the research (see figure 1), without the coverage requirement. Not surprisingly, Democrats are far more likely than Republicans to support it. (Chart 1)

Figure 1
Obama's Plan Description

Under President Obama's plan, Americans will be offered affordable and portable health coverage. His plan will make a new national health program available that will allow individuals and small businesses to buy health coverage similar to what is currently available to federal employees. Regardless of their current health status or pre-existing conditions, nobody will be turned down or charged more, and those who need financial assistance will receive a subsidy for their premiums. This plan is currently intended to ensure coverage or all children and make coverage available to all adults who want it.

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When the coverage requirement is introduced, 1/3 report feeling more positive, and 1/3 say they are less positively disposed to the program.

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People respond well to Massachusetts' success.
However, when respondents are informed that Massachusetts' requirement has resulted in almost 450,000 additional people having health insurance, about half feel more positive about the requirement and only a tenth feel more negative.

Key Takeaway:
If the ultimate healthcare plan requires universal coverage, informing people about Massachusetts' success will help gain acceptance for it.

About the study:
These results were drawn from a study conducted among consumers from TRC's web panel which is generally representative of U.S. households with web access. There was a total of 1178 respondents.

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